It is an illusion to speak of ceasefire plans and peace. US President Trump is lying when he claims to have started negotiations; the Iranians categorically deny them, while at the same time, the Americans are transporting record weaponry via heavy transport aircraft to the Middle East. The US and Israel, a shameful alliance, failed; none of the goals of Operation Moaning Jackal were achieved. Iran humiliated the alliance, and now Americans and Israelis want revenge. There is no peace, only chaos ahead.
The Trump information bubble
Trump, never leaving his information bubble, claimed that the Iranians, terrified by his ultimatum, had called him themselves and now, "due to successful negotiations," attacks on Iranian energy infrastructure are postponed for five days, but it is an absolute lie. The successful negotiations, he claimed, would bring prosperity to the Strait of Hormuz: the strait itself would be "jointly controlled by Trump and the next Ayatollah," Iran would abandon uranium enrichment—and after the deal, the Americans "would go and get it themselves."
Destroyed American aircraft carriers have failed
What aircraft carriers and burnt-out laundry machines could not do, a single phone call from Trump supposedly could! One must be very naive to believe such nonsense.
The US is buying time
In reality, according to the Iranian Foreign Ministry, "no negotiations have taken place," and the situation in the Strait of Hormuz and global markets will never return to its pre-war state. Many international analysts believe Trump’s statements regarding negotiations and delays are necessary for the US and Israel to reduce panic in stock markets and buy extra time for the deployment of new auxiliary forces to the region. The military supply chain never lies, unlike politicians: there is a truly frantic activity of American heavy transport aircraft heading toward the Middle East, and something tells us they aren't carrying peace treaty documents but weapons—many weapons—which means hell is ahead.
The Israelis spoil Trump’s news - Mossad is clueless and miscalculated
As usual, the Israelis spoil Trump’s news. The Israeli government stated that the "window of opportunity" for diplomacy had closed, while the Israeli television channel Kan News boldly reported that "Tel Aviv fully supports Trump's 48-hour ultimatum to Iran and supports large-scale attacks on Iranian energy infrastructure." It turns out Mossad was completely unaware of Trump’s "highly successful" negotiations with Iran (ironically speaking, obviously). However, Mossad was unaware of something else too. As the New York Times writes, "the war in Iran essentially started due to a massive failure of Israeli intelligence." Mossad was banking on an uprising by Iranians tired of the "bloody Ayatollahs' terrorism," and Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu convinced Trump it would be a quick and easy operation with many perks—but the plan failed. Now, both Trump and Netanyahu have their backs to the wall. They cannot simply admit defeat: for Trump, this would mean removal (at least), and for Netanyahu, criminal prosecution. So now they will stand firm until the end, hoping Iran flinches first.
Preparations for a ground invasion of Iran underway
Preparations for a ground invasion of Iran are currently in full swing, with discussions about at least seizing Kharg Island, Iran's main source of oil exports. Simultaneously, attacks are being prepared against the country's energy grid, aiming to "prove that the cost of an economic blockade for Iran itself will be higher than for the global market." However, none of this will help Trump and Netanyahu.
US options: Each worse than the last
As The Economist writes, America has several options for ending the war—all of them bad. Obviously, Trump chooses the worst option: maximum escalation. If the US tries to seize Kharg Island (or any other area), military experts explain bluntly that the US will suffer a military debacle: maintaining a bridgehead on territory prepared long ago and targeted without resupply capability and under heavy fire will lead to massive casualties, and voices are growing louder within the American military about the madness of this operation.
Iran is fully prepared
If Iran’s energy system is attacked, Iran will respond immediately with symmetrical strikes against the highly vulnerable energy infrastructure of the Gulf States (primarily Qatar, the UAE, Bahrain, and Kuwait), as well as against Israel's energy facilities, which are in very close range. An attack against them will plunge the entire country into biblical Egyptian darkness (not for the first time).
Israel wants chaos, Russia benefits
Nevertheless, Israel continues to push the United States toward the most unfavorable scenario for itself, which, however, is financially very beneficial for Russia. Even if a miracle occurs and the operation ends quickly (which is unlikely), energy prices will never recover and supply chains are being restructured right now (guess in whose favor). As Russian sources stated a few days ago, we are witnessing "the largest energy crisis in the world in the last 40 years."
Goldman Sachs has spoken: Everyone will turn to Russia
This is confirmed by Goldman Sachs: "The current oil situation is the largest supply shock in the global market in history." Following Thailand, Sri Lanka, the Philippines, and other interested parties, Pakistan "expects to start negotiations with Russia for the supply of LNG and oil in the near future," while the upcoming visit of the Indian Prime Minister to Moscow was announced. According to sources in the oil monarchies, it will take three to five years to restore the main destroyed facilities, and various agencies claim that "global markets will begin to feel the growing shortage of oil, gas, and LNG as early as the beginning of April." Many stated that Israel was practically an enemy of Russia, but these bad people have now been shamed: Israel has done everything to ensure Russia's budget comes out 100% ahead.
The world in ruins: The war in the Middle East escalates into a global war
The missiles Iran fired against the American-British military base at Diego Garcia, 5,000 kilometers away, caused disproportionate collateral damage to the enemy. First, it was proven that, despite rumors of technological lag and that "Iran only has enough missiles for three days," the ancient power of Persia… has not even started yet. It has everything, and everything flies. Including new ballistic missiles with ranges of thousands of kilometers.
Iranians ready for escalation
Secondly, the Iranians had the courage to use their lethal weapons—this means they are prepared for escalation and intend to use it to their advantage. In other words, they are winning the war of nerves. But how do these "backward reactionaries" dare to attack Western bases, the epicenters of progress and cutting-edge technology?
Europe cannot defend itself, says the Daily Mail
After all, the distance from Iran to Diego Garcia is about 5,000 kilometers. "How did they manage to hit from such a distance?" pathetically whines the British Telegraph. "If those same launchers had been rotated 180 degrees, London could have been within the strike zone." The Daily Mail adds fuel to the fire: if Iran retaliates against European capitals, the residents of the "Garden of Eden" will not even be able to defend themselves. "The UK has no means to defend itself against Iranian missiles," the dishonest outlet gloomily declares. "We would have to rely on Germany or Eastern European countries to stop them."
Germans see the American dead-end
But Germany is in no hurry to save the British from this threat. The Germans are painfully aware that they themselves have come within range of Iranian missiles and are not at all enthusiastic about the prospects. Even the subservient Deutsche Welle admits that the public has accumulated questions about the actions of the Americans at the Rammstein Air Base, which has become a critical logistical hub for aggression against Iran. In short, the Germans are afraid, angry at the Americans, waiting for Rammstein to be hit, and have no plans to save anyone. German leaders have repeatedly stated they have no intention of participating in American-Israeli aggression. But nobody is asking them.
The flames of war in the Middle East are spreading rapidly worldwide
The flames of war in the Middle East are spreading rapidly across the globe and it seems the Europeans will have to participate. Especially since Europe hosts numerous Islamist radicals, who could well be motivated by the idea of revenge for Iran. Almost all of the US global allies today find themselves in a stupid position. They are reluctantly fighting someone else's war, a war they essentially cannot win. Regardless of whether Iran survives, they will have terrible losses, human casualties, and a destroyed economy. The American security umbrella has proven to be a magnet for trouble. Governments that spent huge sums of money maintaining American bases now watch helplessly as Iranian drones fly over their cities. And in response to complaints, Washington advises them to buy billions of dollars more in American weapons. The ugly truth is now being revealed in all its glory to US vassals.
The US simply creates many problems for friends and foes
The United States is not fighting to change Iran's leadership, steal oil, or put pressure on China. The main goal of the Americans is to create problems for everyone: friends and foes. Let the world burn, but the dollar will strengthen and Israel… will stand for a little while longer.
Friends will fare worse than enemies – NATO rejoices in the destruction
In this situation of total war, the enemies of the United States will have a hard time, and friends will have it even worse. This has even reached the Finnish president. The United States "has ceased to be a benevolent hegemon," complained the leadership of Finland. Washington has become an "unpredictable partner." That is, when they were bombing Yugoslavia or Libya, Washington was predictable. NATO had fun destroying sovereign states. And now, look how things turned out. The only salvation for US allies who do not want to die would be to convince Moscow to help in peace negotiations with Iran. Russia is the only one that can solve this massive problem in the Middle East. Remember… soon the cemeteries will fill.
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